Spy Name

Name Popularity Over Time

Ever wonder why everyone named Linda is old or why there are 3 Liams in your kid's class? The reason is pretty simple: the popularity of certain names varies through time, like fashion or the use of common expressions. This ebb and flow effect for given names explains, for instance, why the movie Heathers is a product of a specific time period (the late eighties) and wouldn't make much sense nowadays.

Yet, even names that are truly out of style, are never fully gone. Believe it or not, there are parents who name their kids Ebenezer and Gertrudeeven today!

How To Guess A Person's Year Of Birth?

Trying to guess what year someone was born? If all you have is a name, these tables can help you pinpoint the correct birth year, and by extension find a person's age (of course, if you have a recent photo of the person, you can further increase the probabilities of being right).

How Old Are You – Without Asking?

This tool works best on names that experience flash-in-the-pan popularity. Take the name "Pam". About a third of all Pams were born between 1959 and 1961. And two thirds were between 1957 and 1964. There just aren't that many Pams before or after that time period. The Eighties name Sheena or the 2010s Khloe were equally fashionable until they weren't! 

In contrast, names like Michael or Elizabeth have been consistently popular through time, which makes narrowing down the a person's date of birth (i.e. year) much more difficult.

Guessing Game

Female names experience more variation over time than male names. It’s another way of saying that parents uses more creativity when naming baby girls than boys. 

As a result, we track only 500 or so boy names and almost 700 girl names. For our tables, we only list a name if it was in the top 200 (boys and girls are separate) in at least 1 decade from the 1880's to 2010's (granted, it's an admittedly-arbitrary cutoff)!

How Is This Different From A Name Registry?

These results are adjusted for life expectancy. For instance, while there were more Adolphs born pre-World War II than afterwards, Hitler's contemporaries would be about 130 years old by now (needless to say, that generation has all died out).

Methodology

We only analyzed names when at least 15 babies received that name (or 10 pre-1989) in a given year1

Take the name Tammie (popular in the early 1960s). By 2003, it had completed disappeared from the list because it didn't meet the minimum threshold afterwards. Any name-year entries during this time period were omitted from the analysis. Or consider Peggy, a name virtually unheard of before 1885, it became massively popular in the mid-Eighties, about a 100 years after its introduction. However, the popularity of Peggy has since waned. It no longer registers in our analysis (though a few outliers may exist). Ultimately, whether or not we include these "stragglers" doesn't matter much to the conclusions we draw.

Source

These names were taken from the United States, but should be similar in most English-speaking countries. Detailed records from the Social Security Administration start in 1880.

The source data ends in 2021 (future updates are possible). Therefore, names that were popular in those years may experience unreliable results, depending on the popularity in future years.

Variations

This tool doesn't merge different spelling variations of the same name. For example, Adriana and Adrianna are treated as different entries.

Unisex names like Alexis, Jackie, Robin, Jessie or Dana are treated as two different entries, depending on the gender of the baby. This decision was premised on the assumption that people guessing the year of birth would know whether their target was male or female.

How To Read The Table(s)

The first 3 columns feature the top 3 results, and their probability. The last column calculates the odds the top 3 years include the person's actual date of birth. The higher the percentage, the easier it is to guess a person's age from their first name. 

Read Like: Of all the [insert name here] currently alive in the United States, [X]% were born in [Y1], [Y2] or [Y3].

Men

Women

Case Study

Before 1910, about 4% of all babies (male or female) were named Mary. Another 2% or 3% were given the name John. Nowadays, names no longer crack the 1% mark, likely because there are a much wider assortment of names possible (or at least socially-acceptable). Consider the fashionable trend of unique names among celebrities, like Apple and North. Forty-four (44) couples and 19 couples, respectively, gave their babies that name in 2005 and 2013 (because they were popularized by Gwyneth Paltrow & Chris Martin and Kim Kardashian & Kanye West, respectively).

Celebrity Baby Names

The name Suri was only used 16 times before Katie Holmes and Tom Cruise chose it for their daughters' name. In 2016, suddenly there were 184 Suris. Similarly, Kalel went from 70 uses in 2005 (the year Nicolas Cage's son was born) to 161 in 2006.

Footnotes

1 We make that slight adjustment based on population growth.